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Negative equity in Oxford on the rise

OXFORD house owners are trapped with a negative equity of over £11,000 on average, according to a new report.

Global rating agency Fitch Ratings has estimated the average house in Oxford is worth £11,276 less than its owner’s debt, with homeowners unable to get out of negative equity by overpaying their mortgages because of salary freezes, overtime bans, soaring household bills and job losses.

But Oxfordshire property expert Stewart Lilley, past president of the National Association of Estate Agents, threw doubt on the value of the Fitch research, which said 15 per cent of prime UK mortgages already exceeded the value of the owner's home.

However, he agreed with Fitch that house prices would not recover significantly until 2010.

And he echoed the report in blaming “consistent criteria creep over several years” – meaning loan-to-value (LTV) limits on mortgages were allowed to rise steadily as house prices soared in the boom.

Mr Lilley said: “I think there certainly is some negative equity, because prices 18 months ago were extremely high.

“Despite what we as professionals were saying, the banks continued to lend money faster than they could print it.

“Then the inevitable happened, as we all now know. Money was freely available, with mortgages of up to six times your annual income. It really was ill-advised, but lenders were incentivised to sell.”

He added: “My view is that we are nearly there now, but I don’t think there is going to be any significant recovery until next year.”

Wayne Keenan, of Oxford estate agents Andrews, felt the situation had improved since Fitch’s research.

He said: “There is certainly evidence of negative equity, but it’s not prevalent. Last year a number of people couldn’t move because their mortgages were higher than the value of their house, but prices have picked up since then.”

He added: “Negative equity only affects people who have bought in the past two or three years.

“Anyone who bought before 2004 will still have equity in their home. It’s a really limited part of the market, and it’s changed in the last few months.”

The worst-case scenario from Fitch assumes a further 14 per cent decline in house prices from now, but Mr Lilley felt that was unlikely.

Andrew Montlake, of mortgage broker Coreco warned people not to panic. He said: “Negative equity is only an immediate problem if you have to move or remortgage.”

business@oxfordmail.co.uk

Comments(6)

LadyPenelope says...
6:46pm Tue 30 Jun 09

Negative equity basically means that there will be even LESS houses for sale within the ring road, as people won't be able to sell! Perhaps not good news for first time buyers??

Anyone who CAN afford to over pay their mortgage at the moment should be doing so.

Lovebike says...
9:25pm Tue 30 Jun 09

Fewer houses, LP, fewer.

GaryOxford says...
10:49pm Tue 30 Jun 09

It's not really a surprise, the local and national government have ramped up house prices to unsustainable levels for years and now finally the bubble has burst. If you look at the last housing boom and bust and compare average salaries to house prices, you'll find that even with current losses the housing market is still higher than it was at the previous boom. It looks like housing has a long way to go down before it bottoms out.

Massy says...
11:28pm Tue 30 Jun 09

And just as well, too. For everyone, apart from the greedy rip-off merchants.

LadyPenelope says...
9:34am Wed 1 Jul 09

Lovebike wrote:
Fewer houses, LP, fewer.
Merci M. Lovebike!! I intended to write "less housing" but got distracted doing too many things at once!

It's not just the local and national government ramping prices up. A massive contribution is our change in lifestyles i.e. more people wanting to buy their own house on their own (not as a couple), and lots more split families who own two separate homes.

I don't think there's one particular group to blame...

EB says...
8:54pm Wed 1 Jul 09

It seems my comment on "blaming the gays" was complained about by person(s) unknown.

May I just inform that person that I am infact gay myself, and stop being such a woolly liberal who complains at anything which may be deemed "homophobic".

Grow up. You give us all a bad name and perpetuate stereotypes.

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